Tag: economy
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Trump Threatens Higher Tariffs as Trade Deals Stall — What It Means for the Economy
As the Supreme Court ruling looms, Trump appears to be acting with urgency by escalating tariff threats while trade deals remain unresolved. While tariffs can be raised, lowered, or reversed, the real leverage may lie elsewhere: forcing foreign partners to commit billions in U.S. investments that are far harder to unwind. This post explores whether… Read more
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PMI & Consumer Sentiment
January 2026 data from S&P Global’s Flash PMI and the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers shows an economy still expanding, but facing lingering tariff-driven cost pressures. Services growth has slowed, manufacturing costs remain elevated, and labor demand is flat amid uncertainty. At the same time, consumer sentiment is improving and inflation expectations are stabilizing.… Read more
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IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF Econ outlook: Growth is uneven: the U.S. remains stronger than others. U.S. GDP Q3 2025 was 4.3% The strength came from 1. Tech & Ai investment 2. Rebound from the govt shutdown. Projections for the U.S. gdp growth for 2026 @ 2.4% (revised up .3%) and 2027 @ 2%. ****Scott Bessent @ the Read more